Arctic sea ice performs a vital role in global climate and has paramount impacts on both polar ecosystems and coastal communities. In the last few years, multiple deep learning based pan-Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC) forecasting methods have emerged and showcased superior performance over physics-based dynamical models. However, previous methods forecast SIC at a fixed temporal granularity, e.g.

People continuously perceive and interact with their surroundings based on underlying intentions that drive their exploration and behaviors.

Simulation-based inference (SBI) of latent parameters in physical systems is often hindered by model misspecification-the mismatch between simulated and real-world observations caused by inherent modeling simplifications. RoPE, a recent SBI approach, addresses this challenge through a two-stage domain transfer process that combines semi-supervised calibration with optimal transport (OT)based distribution alignment. However, RoPE operates in a fully transductive setting, requiring access to a batch of test samples at inference time, which limits scalability and generalization. We propose a fully inductive and amortized SBI framework that integrates calibration and distributional alignment into a single, end-to-end trainable model called FRISBI. Our method leverages mini-batch OT with a closed-form coupling to align real and simulated observations that correspond to the same latent parameters, using both paired calibration data and unpaired samples. A conditional normalizing flow is then trained to approximate the OTinduced posterior, enabling efficient inference without simulation access at test time. Across a range of synthetic and real-world benchmarks-including complex medical biomarker estimation-our approach matches or exceeds the performance of RoPE, while offering improved scalability and applicability in challenging, misspecified environments.

The imperative of user privacy protection and regulatory compliance necessitates sensitive data removal in model training, yet this process often induces distributional shifts that undermine model performance-particularly in out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios. To address this issue we propose a novel data removal approach that enhances deep predictive models through factor decorrelation and loss perturbation. Our approach introduces: (1) a discriminative-preserving factor decorrelation module employing dynamic adaptive weight adjustment and iterative representation updating to reduce feature redundancy and minimize inter-feature correlations.

Existing approaches either neglect dependencies, leading to overly conservative predictions, or rely solely on data-driven estimations, failing to capture the rich topological structure of the network. To address these challenges, we propose Spatio-Temporal Adaptive Conformal Inference (STACI), a novel framework that integrates network topology and temporal dynamics into the conformal prediction framework. STACIintroduces a topology-aware nonconformity score that respects directional flow constraints and dynamically adjusts prediction sets to account for temporal distributional shifts. We provide theoretical guarantees on the validity of our approach and demonstrate its superior performance on both synthetic and real-world datasets. Our results show that STACIeffectively balances prediction efficiency and coverage, outperforming existing conformal prediction methods for stream networks.

The stable periodic patterns present in the time series data serve as the foundation for long-term forecasting. However, existing models suffer from limitations such as continuous and chaotic input partitioning, as well as weak inductive biases, which restrict their ability to capture such recurring structures. In this paper, we propose MoFo, which interprets periodicity as both the correlation of periodaligned time steps and the trend of period-offset time steps. We first design periodstructured patches--2D tensors generated through discrete sampling--where each row contains only period-aligned time steps, enabling direct modeling of periodic correlations. Period-offset time steps within a period are aligned in columns.

Vehicle trajectory prediction serves as a critical enabler for autonomous navigation and intelligent transportation systems. While existing approaches predominantly focus on pattern extraction and vehicle-environment interaction modeling, they exhibit a fundamental limitation in addressing trajectory heterogeneity originating from human driving styles. This oversight constrains prediction reliability in complex real-world scenarios. To bridge this gap, we propose the Driving-StyleAdaptive (DSA) framework, which establishes the first systematic integration of heterogeneous driving behaviors into trajectory prediction models. Specifically, our framework employs a set of basis functions tailored to each driving style to approximate the trajectory patterns. By dynamically combining and adaptively adjusting the degree of these basis functions, DSA not only enhances prediction accuracy but also provides explanations insights into the prediction process. Extensive experiments on public real-world datasets demonstrate that the DSA framework outperforms state-of-the-art methods.

We study Diffusion Schrödinger Bridge (DSB) models in the context of dynamical astrophysical systems, specifically tackling observational inverse prediction tasks within Giant Molecular Clouds (GMCs) for star formation. We introduce the AstroDSB model, a variant of DSB with the pairwise domain assumption tailored for astrophysical dynamics.

Neural PDE solvers offer a powerful tool for modeling complex dynamical systems, but often struggle with error accumulation over long time horizons and maintaining stability and physical consistency. We introduce a multiscale implicit neural emulator that enhances long-term prediction accuracy by conditioning on a hierarchy of lower-dimensional future state representations. Inspired by the stability properties of numerical implicit time-stepping methods, we developed an approach that leverages predictions several steps ahead in time at increasing compression rates for next-timestep refinements. By actively adjusting the temporal downsampling ratios, our design enables the model to capture dynamics across multiple granularities and enforce long-range temporal coherence. Experiments on turbulent fluid dynamics show that our method achieves high short-term accuracy and produces long-term stable forecasts, significantly outperforming non-hierarchical autoregressive baselines while adding minimal computational overhead. The codebase is available at this link1.